SUMMARY
The climate forecasts for the months of April and May 2024 indicate an overall increase in the amount of precipitation compared to the historical average of 1950-2015 in the Sudano-Sahelian agroecological zone (Far North and North Regions).
Regarding the start of the rainy season, the forecasts indicate a likely start:
In the North Region, from the second decade (from the 11th) of June 2024 in all the Mayo-Rey, Faro, Mayo-Louti and Bénoué divisions, as well as in the southern part of the Far North region (Mindif, Gamboura, Bolobo, Doumrou, Gawar, Gobo and Datcheka).
Note 1: There will be a dry spell, or a slight interruption of precipitation (from June 30 to July 5, 2024) in the above-mentioned areas, about three weeks after the effective start of the rainy season.
In the Far North Region, from the third decade (from the 23rd) of June 2024 in the central, central-west and central-east parts (Waza, Kolofata, Zina, Banki, Koza, Modzogo, Salak, Djombodi, Tokombere, Maga, Yagoua).
Note 2: Two dry spell scenarios are envisaged: the first one a week after the effective start (from June 30 to July 6), and the second break from July 9 to 17, 2024.
In the northern, northwestern and northeastern parts of the Far North region (Logone Gana, Kala-Kafra, Darak, Blangoua, Logone Birni, Makary and Kousseri), from the third decade (from the 21st) of July 2024.
Based on the above, the National Observatory on Climate Change (ONACC) proposes the start of sowing:
In the North Region, from the second decade (from the 14th) of June 2024 in all the Departments and the southern part of the Far North region.
In the central, central-west and central-east parts of the Far North Region, from the third decade (from the 26th) of June 2024.
In the northern, northwestern and northeastern parts of the Far North region, from the third decade (from the 24th) of July 2024.
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