Forecasts and Dekadal Climate Alerts for the
Period of 11th to 20th October 2023

Introduction


This dekadal climate early warning bulletin n° 167 is obtained by exploiting spatial data collected from major international centres involved in day-to-day followup of climate science, notably: the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) of the University of Columbia (USA); the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA, USA); AccuWeather (American Weather Forecasting Agency, USA); the African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD); Spatial data from 1979 to 2018, relating to Ocean Surface Temperature (OST) in
the Atlantic and Pacific, El-Niño/La Nina episode intensities in the Pacific, rainfall and temperature data from local stations. Finally, NOCC would like to express its gratitude to all these international Institutions as well as the National Center for Meteorology for the goodwill demonstrated in sharing data.
This bulletin highlights the historical climatic conditions from 1979 to 2018, as well as the climatic forecasts for all the
five Agro-ecological zones of Cameroon, for the period from 11th to 20th October 2023. This early warning brief further underscores the risks, threats and potential impacts expected in the different socio-economic development sectors of Cameroon. It also makes an assessment of the forecasts made for the previous dekad from 1st to 10th October 2023.